Energy Realism and Climate Pragmatism at the Department of Energy
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Energy Realism and Climate Pragmatism at the Department of Energy

He’s a climate denier! That is the standard reaction of many in the climate lobby when encountering views on climate and energy deviating from the monomaniacal view that climate is…

Global Existential Risks
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Global Existential Risks

In 2022, on a bipartisan basis, the U.S. Congress passed the Global Catastrophic Risk Management Act of 2022 requiring the Department of Homeland Security to coordinate an expert assessment of global catastrophic…

A Memo for Trump’s Energy Czar
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A Memo for Trump’s Energy Czar

Last week, the Financial Times reported that President-elect Donald Trump is considering appointing an “energy czar,” described as: The new energy tsar role and its powers are not yet finalised, but people familiar with…

How Science Must Change
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How Science Must Change

A minor brouhaha erupted on social media this week when the editor of Scientific American, Laura Helmuth, in a late-night fit of rage, posted profanity-filled and disparaging comments about those who…

History of Technology: Cheaper, Cleaner, Easier
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Knowledge Problem

History of Technology: Cheaper, Cleaner, Easier

Every fall since 2020 I have been teaching energy economics in Northwestern University’s Master of Science in Energy and Sustainability (MSES) program. I team teach with my friend Mark Witte, and my…

Take the Under
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Take the Under

In the Financial Times over the weekend, John Burn-Murdoch discussed how projections of global population keep decreasing: Burn-Murdoch concludes: [T]hese estim­ates are extremely fuzzy and based on frame­works that were true in the…

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Knowledge Problem

Progress and Its Enemies

26 years ago, Virginia Postrel published The Future and Its Enemies, which I still consider one of the most insightful books of our time. The book’s subtitle, The Growing Conflict Over Creativity,…

Climate Journalism Done Right
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Climate Journalism Done Right

Today, The Washington Post has published a lengthy analysis titled, “The real reason billion-dollar disasters like Hurricane Helene are growing more common.”1 The article, by the Post’s Harry Stevens, is brilliantly…

We Found an Excel File Online
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We Found an Excel File Online

A new paper is just out claiming that climate change is increasing the damage associated with U.S. hurricanes: “US hurricane damage, normalized for changes of inflation, population, and wealth, increases approximately 1%…

The “warming surge,” climate model biases, fewer Gulf hurricanes, and super shoes!
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The “warming surge,” climate model biases, fewer Gulf hurricanes, and super shoes!

In 2024 it can be difficult to sort wheat from chaff in the peer-reviewed literature. There has always been better and worse science — that goes with the territory —…

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The Clean Energy Transition’s Voter Problem

The future of the clean energy transition is cloudy. It’s well-known that there are disagreements—wide disagreements—between Republicans and Democrats about our energy future. But less well-known is the bedrock of…

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Weather Attribution Alchemy

In the aftermath of many high profile extreme weather events we see headlines like the following: For those who closely follow climate science and the assessments of the Intergovernmental Panel…

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Weaponizing Peer Review

In their book, Merchants of Doubt, Naomi Oreskes and Eric Conway argue that scientists “know bad science when they see it”: “It’s science that is obviously fraudulent — when data have…

The American Growth Imperative
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The American Growth Imperative

Every so often, I come across a policy analysis that is so quantitatively robust and crystal clear in its presentation, that it clarifies how I think. Today is one of…

The Institute for Regulatory Law & Economics
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Knowledge Problem

The Institute for Regulatory Law & Economics

Today I’m traveling to the 2024 Institute for Regulatory Law & Economics Workshop for Regulators. The 2024 IRLE Workshop marks not only the 18th annual gathering of regulators and scholars, but also…