The Case for Forward-Looking Policies
Article
The Dispatch

The Case for Forward-Looking Policies

This is the fourth presidential election cycle that I’ve worked as a tech policy analyst and it’s easily been my least busy. Normally, a presidential candidate would suggest a crazy…

History of Technology: Cheaper, Cleaner, Easier
Article
Knowledge Problem

History of Technology: Cheaper, Cleaner, Easier

Every fall since 2020 I have been teaching energy economics in Northwestern University’s Master of Science in Energy and Sustainability (MSES) program. I team teach with my friend Mark Witte, and my…

Twenty-Four Ways to Understand 2024
Article
The Dispatch

Twenty-Four Ways to Understand 2024

Economist Deirdre McCloskey opens The Narrative of Economic Expertise with an observation that blew me away when I read it as an undergraduate: It is pretty clear that an economist, like a…

How Tech Regulatory Approaches Have Changed, and Not for the Better
Article
The Dispatch

How Tech Regulatory Approaches Have Changed, and Not for the Better

As president, Bill Clinton had failures, both personal and professional, but one thing he got right during his time in office was the Framework for Global Electronic Commerce. Released in July…

Take the Under
Article
The Honest Broker

Take the Under

In the Financial Times over the weekend, John Burn-Murdoch discussed how projections of global population keep decreasing: Burn-Murdoch concludes: [T]hese estim­ates are extremely fuzzy and based on frame­works that were true in the…

Article
Knowledge Problem

Progress and Its Enemies

26 years ago, Virginia Postrel published The Future and Its Enemies, which I still consider one of the most insightful books of our time. The book’s subtitle, The Growing Conflict Over Creativity,…

Climate Journalism Done Right
Article
The Honest Broker

Climate Journalism Done Right

Today, The Washington Post has published a lengthy analysis titled, “The real reason billion-dollar disasters like Hurricane Helene are growing more common.”1 The article, by the Post’s Harry Stevens, is brilliantly…

What Happens in Europe Does Not Stay There
Article
Washington Examiner

What Happens in Europe Does Not Stay There

U.S. climate policies, designed to yield a utopia of net-zero greenhouse gas emissions by, say, 2050, are preposterous. The costs are massive. Consumer resistance is such that important components of the policy agenda are…

Why Western North Carolina Spurned Flood Control Measures Decades Ago
Article
The Dispatch

Why Western North Carolina Spurned Flood Control Measures Decades Ago

The July 17, 1916, edition of The Asheville Citizen could have easily been reprinted late last month and maintained its relevance: “Asheville today is absolutely isolated from the outside world, is a city…

We Found an Excel File Online
Article
The Honest Broker

We Found an Excel File Online

A new paper is just out claiming that climate change is increasing the damage associated with U.S. hurricanes: “US hurricane damage, normalized for changes of inflation, population, and wealth, increases approximately 1%…

The “warming surge,” climate model biases, fewer Gulf hurricanes, and super shoes!
Article
The Honest Broker

The “warming surge,” climate model biases, fewer Gulf hurricanes, and super shoes!

In 2024 it can be difficult to sort wheat from chaff in the peer-reviewed literature. There has always been better and worse science — that goes with the territory —…

Article
The Honest Broker

The Clean Energy Transition’s Voter Problem

The future of the clean energy transition is cloudy. It’s well-known that there are disagreements—wide disagreements—between Republicans and Democrats about our energy future. But less well-known is the bedrock of…

Article
The Honest Broker

Weather Attribution Alchemy

In the aftermath of many high profile extreme weather events we see headlines like the following: For those who closely follow climate science and the assessments of the Intergovernmental Panel…

Article
The Honest Broker

Weaponizing Peer Review

In their book, Merchants of Doubt, Naomi Oreskes and Eric Conway argue that scientists “know bad science when they see it”: “It’s science that is obviously fraudulent — when data have…

The American Growth Imperative
Article
The Honest Broker

The American Growth Imperative

Every so often, I come across a policy analysis that is so quantitatively robust and crystal clear in its presentation, that it clarifies how I think. Today is one of…