The term “scenario” was introduced by a group of researchers at the RAND Corporation in the 1960s. Herman Kahn explained its origin in 1979: “We deliberately chose the word [scenario] to…
By Roger Pielke Jr. | February 10, 2025
Long-time readers of THB will know well that I am strongly supportive of formal scientific assessments — a form of science arbitration, as defined in my book which gives this site its…
By Roger Pielke Jr. | February 3, 2025
Did you know that climate change is making the San Francisco region more foggy? The Bay Area just had its foggiest May in 50 years. And thanks to global warming, it’s…
By Roger Pielke Jr. | January 17, 2025
The Office of the Solicitor General — part of the Department of Justice —was created by the Statutory Authorization Act of June 22, 1870. The Act states that there shall be an…
By Benjamin Zycher | January 8, 2025
Yesterday, The Washington Post published what can only be described as a hit piece on the nominee for Secretary of Energy, Chris Wright. The Post took issue with Wright’s claim that: “[R]eports from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate…
By Roger Pielke Jr. | December 6, 2024
Faculty in U.S. universities overwhelmingly hold views on the political left. That probably won’t be news to most THB readers. Today’s post documents just how extreme today’s left-leaning ideological uniformity…
By Roger Pielke Jr. | December 2, 2024
Of the American holidays, Thanksgiving is by far my favorite. Over my academic career, Thanksgiving provided a much-needed respite in the final weeks of the fall semester before the home…
By Roger Pielke Jr. | December 2, 2024
In 2022, on a bipartisan basis, the U.S. Congress passed the Global Catastrophic Risk Management Act of 2022 requiring the Department of Homeland Security to coordinate an expert assessment of global catastrophic…
By Roger Pielke Jr. | November 13, 2024
Today, The Washington Post has published a lengthy analysis titled, “The real reason billion-dollar disasters like Hurricane Helene are growing more common.”1 The article, by the Post’s Harry Stevens, is brilliantly…
By Roger Pielke Jr. | October 24, 2024
U.S. climate policies, designed to yield a utopia of net-zero greenhouse gas emissions by, say, 2050, are preposterous. The costs are massive. Consumer resistance is such that important components of the policy agenda are…
By Benjamin Zycher | October 23, 2024
The future of the clean energy transition is cloudy. It’s well-known that there are disagreements—wide disagreements—between Republicans and Democrats about our energy future. But less well-known is the bedrock of…
By Roger Pielke Jr. | Ruy Teixeira | October 10, 2024
That “climate change” — undefined and usually unquantified — is making weather patterns more adverse is a given among the chattering classes, but it always is useful to examine the actual underlying…
By Benjamin Zycher | October 7, 2024
FacebookTwitterLinkedIn In a useful op-ed pointing out the endless series of falsehoods promoted by climate alarmists over the years (“Polar Bears, Dead Coral and Other Climate Fictions,” Aug. 1), Bjorn Lomborg asserts…
By Benjamin Zycher | August 5, 2024
Summary My colleagues Kyle Pomerleau and Shuting Pomerleau propose a “carbon”(greenhouse gas emissions) tax as a fiscal tool with which to finance an extension of theindividual income tax reductions implemented…
By Benjamin Zycher | July 30, 2024
It might seem difficult to take positions on a prominent issue diametrically opposed and equally preposterous. But Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse (D-RI), a man whose Pavlovian opposition to the U.S. fossil…
By Benjamin Zycher | July 17, 2024